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Table 2 Practical guide for how the methods identified can be used and the appropriate situations

From: Reviewing methodological approaches to dose-response modelling in complex interventions: insights and perspectives

Method

Research Question

Strengths

Weaknesses

Recommended uses

Mutli-level Modelling [13]

How many sessions are needed for 50%* of patients to reach CSI?

-Model captures heterogeneity through random coefficient

-Inclusion of multiple characteristics potentially reduces unmeasured confounding

- Cannot make causal inferences regarding dose

- Does not deal with selection bias or hidden confounding

This method is suitable for pilot studies aimed at identifying recommended treatment dose to test later in a RCT. All patients would receive treatment and the number of sessions they attend would be recorded. Researchers must collect detailed patient information to enhance the analysis.

Kaplan-Meier Curve [14]

How many sessions are needed for 50%* of patients to reach clinically significant improvement (CSI)?

- Allows for an exploration of relationships between characteristics and time to CSI

-Suitable for analysing observable data without predefined time limits on therapy duration

- Uses longitudinal, sessional data to model shape of response without relying on interpolation

- Cannot make causal inferences regarding dose

- Sessional outcome data must be collected, which is time consuming

- When a participant reaches CSI, this must be maintained until termination of treatment

- Does not deal with selection bias or hidden confounding

This method is well-suited for pilot studies aimed at identifying recommended treatment dose to test later in a RCT. All patients would be offered treatment, their outcomes after each session must be collected using a valid psychometric measure. Average time to reach CSI data can be estimated for the sample.

The resulting dose-response should be considered as a guideline, rather than an exact estimation of the dose-response relationship.

Smoothing Splines [16]

What is the potential shape of the dose-response curve?

-Allows for exploration of the potential underlying dose-response curve

-Various shapes can be explored and compared using goodness-of-fit indices.

- Cannot make causal inferences regarding dose

- The true dose-response curve can be oversimplified or overcomplicated

-Goodness-of-fit indices may not reliably identify best more accurate model

-Requires large sample size

This method is suited to large, observational studies where researchers want to explore the shape of the dose-response curve. Splines should be applied to observational data, goodness-of-fit indices will help to choose the most plausible shape of response. This is exploratory and should serve as a visualisation before adopting more formal models.

Propensity Score Method [15]

What is the average effect of dose conditional on propensity score?

- Allows for causal interpretation of the effect of dose

- If assumptions are met, outcome is unconfounded by dose, given covariates.

- Balances observed covariates between treatment levels

-Requires that outcome is unconfounded given observed variables

- Subject to assumptions of overlap and positivity

-Misspecification of outcome model leads to bias

This method is suited to observational studies where patients have self-selected varying doses of treatment. The method requires appropriate variables to be collected to create propensity score that balances the covariates that affect self-selection into dose levels.

Kernel Estimation [17]

What is the dose-response function of a continuous treatment?

- Does not require assumptions about the functional form of the dose-response

- Allows for causal interpretation of the effect of dose

- Balances observed covariates between treatment levels

-Requires that outcome is unconfounded given observed variables

- Dependence on observable variables

-Sensitive to sample size

This method is suited to large, observational studies where the relationship between covariates and treatment assignment is complex or poorly understood, such as when patients self-select into varying doses of treatment based on factors that interact in nonlinear or unknown ways.

SMM(G)

IV(2SLS)

IV(ATR)† [18]

What is the average treatment effect of the received dose, accounting for non-compliance.

- Allows for causal interpretation of the effect of dose

- Possible to accommodate non-linear effects

- Handles selection bias that arrives from self-selection into dose

- To identify randomisation as an instrument, we must assume no direct effect of randomisation on outcome (Exclusion restriction)

- The functional form of dose must be pre-specified.

- To model a non-linear effect, multiple valid instruments must be identified

These methods are best applied to randomised controlled trial data. The method estimates average treatment effects using variable session attendance. When modelling non-linear effects, it may be necessary to identify an additional instrumental variable.

Stein-Like Estimators [19]

What is the average treatment effect of the received dose, accounting for non-compliance.

- Allows for causal interpretation of the effect of dose

- Combination of OLS and 2SLS reduces bias whist mitigating variance

- Adapts to the strength of the instrument used

- Handles selection bias that arrives from self-selection into dose

- To identify randomisation as an instrument, we must assume no direct effect of randomisation on outcome (Exclusion restriction)

- Assumes homogeneity of treatment effects

- Assumes linear dose-response relationship

These methods are best applied to randomised controlled trial data. The method estimates average treatment effects using variable session attendance. When modelling non-linear effects, it may be necessary to identify an additional instrumental variable.

This method is suitable for when there is a concern between the bias and variance trade-off in standard IV methods.