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Table 1 Summary of interpretation of coefficients and intervention effects in segmented regression for interrupted time series analysis using parametrizations of Bernal et al. and Wagner et al

From: Interpretation of coefficients in segmented regression for interrupted time series analyses

 

Bernal’s parametrization

Wagner’s parametrization

Model equation

\({y}_{t}={\beta }_{0}+{\beta }_{1}T+{\beta }_{2}^{B}{X}_{t}+{\beta }_{3}{X}_{t}T\)

\({y}_{t}={\beta }_{0}+{\beta }_{1}T+{\beta }_{2}^{W}{X}_{t}+{\beta }_{3}{X}_{t}(T-\delta )\)

Interpretations

Coefficients

Baseline level

\({\beta }_{0}\)

Pre-intervention trend

\({\beta }_{1}\)

Difference in intercepts

\({\beta }_{2}^{B}\)

\({\beta }_{2}^{W}-{\beta }_{3}\delta\)

Immediate effect (change in levels at intervention onset)

\({\beta }_{2}^{B}+{\beta }_{3}\delta\)

\({\beta }_{2}^{W}\)

Gradual effect (change in slopes after intervention)

\({\beta }_{3}\)

Post-intervention trend

\({\beta }_{1}+{\beta }_{3}\)