Table 2 Model selection and averaging comparison under different evaluation metrics using the national COVID-19 surveillance data
Evaluation | Generation time weight | Model averaging | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Metric | Weight1 | Weight2 | Weight3 | Weight4 | DIC | WAIC | CPO |
DIC | 878.252 | 892.903 | 899.664 | 881.804 | 894.425 | - | - |
WAIC | 874.034 | 891.296 | 899.694 | 878.431 | - | 895.822 | - |
CPO | 477.727 | 408.128 | 356.711 | 466.111 | - | - | 467.593 |